{"id":9621,"date":"2016-12-12T22:00:40","date_gmt":"2016-12-12T22:00:40","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bothersbar.co.uk\/?p=9621"},"modified":"2016-12-12T13:03:42","modified_gmt":"2016-12-12T13:03:42","slug":"brig-bothers-big-xmas-tv-bet-2016","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bothersbar.co.uk\/?p=9621","title":{"rendered":"Brig Bother’s Big Xmas TV Bet 2016"},"content":{"rendered":"

[This post is quite poorly timed on my part really, so if you came here looking for Deal or No Deal on Tour<\/strong><\/a> or Time Commanders<\/strong><\/a>, scroll down a bit or click on the links.]<\/p>\n

As is tradition I always put a bet on Christmas Day’s top TV show and make lots of money and normally let people on Twitter know. This year I thought I’d show you my methodology.\u00a0You gamble at your own risk.<\/strong><\/p>\n

A couple of pointers before we begin, first I much prefer to bet for value over backing the favourite (which has only come in once in the last few years) and secondly the Betfair market<\/a>, which is where I put my money, pays out on overnights only<\/strong>. Odds given are odds you can get at the time of writing.<\/p>\n

Here’s last year’s overnight Christmas Day Top 10, courtesy of this page here<\/a>:<\/p>\n

1) The Queen (BBC One<\/span>\/ITV<\/span>) ………………………………………..7.2m (6.1m on BBC One and 1.1m on ITV)
\n2) Downton Abbey – The Finale (ITV<\/span>) ………………………………6.6m
\n3) Strictly Come Dancing Christmas Special (BBC One<\/span>)………. 6.5m
\n4) Mrs Brown’s Boys Christmas Special (BBC One<\/span>)………………6.4m
\n5) Stick Man (BBC One<\/span>) ………………………………………………..6.4m
\n6) Call The Midwife (BBC One<\/span>)……………………………………….. 5.8m
\n7) Doctor Who (BBC One<\/span>) ……………………………………………..5.8m
\n8) EastEnders (BBC One<\/span>) ………………………………………………5.7m
\n9) Coronation Street (ITV<\/span>)……………………………………………. 5.6m
\n10) Brave (BBC One<\/span>) ……………………………………………………..5.5m<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Very interesting. And because of that I can now tell you that I’ve got three figures\u00a0on The Queen on BBC1<\/strong> being this year’s Xmas Number One – the combined total will not count here but you can see the split for yourselves. Normally The Queen is right up there (in fact it’s remarkably consistent, looking back it tends to get above six million whilst the trend is for everything in primetime\u00a0to drop) but with this year being so incredibly weird in terms of news my gut is telling me that as something that hasn’t<\/em> changed this year she’s going to rate massively. Half a million to make up in a year with Brexit and Trump? At those odds? I can’t turn it down, Christmas primetime really isn’t the monster it used to be. Odds: 14<\/p>\n

However there are no guarantees, all I can do is read a situation and project. Therefore if you think I’m wrong here are the other major runners and riders:<\/p>\n