That’s right! Not only do I like gossip and pointless conjecture at Bother’s Bar, on occasion I actually do some hard research as well.
Final rounds of gameshows are difficult to perfect – you want to be fair, but at the same time you don’t really want to disenfranchise the people lagging behind – miracle comebacks are good telly after all.
I was never a fan of “let’s double the points!!!!” because it doesn’t really solve a problem – sure, you make it easier to catch up. On the other hand, you make it just as easy to pull away, and chances are if they were doing better than you before they’re going to be doing twice as good as you when it really matters.
The Krypton Factor was always slightly different in that it tests ability in a number of different disciplines. Most of these events are scored the same way (usually 10, 6, 4, 2). But the final round, General Knowledge plays slightly differently: a number of questions on the buzzer against a time limit with points on for answering correctly and points off for answering incorrectly. Incorrectly answered questions are not thrown over. The points and time limit have varied wildly over the years, but with the potential for one person to blast everybody out, is there too much weighting towards it?
So I thought we’d take a look at some stats from the 2009 series (we will do the same at the end of 2010 and compare). In this year, 2 points are awarded for a correct answer, -1 point for a wrong answer. 70 seconds is the time limit, which in practice meant between 9 and 14 questions.
The scores given are before general knowledge and in the brackets the final result:
Ep 1: 26 (31), 20 (21), 18 (17), 28 (30)
Ep 2: 22 (22), 26 (32), 20 (21), 24 (26)
Ep 3: 30 (32), 28 (30), 22 (29), 16 (20)
Ep 4: 26 (30), 12 (14), 18 (18), 34 (37)
Ep 5: 26 (26), 22 (26), 28 (30), 14 (23)
Ep 6: 30 (30), 20 (20), 20 (28), 22 (24)
Ep 7: 26 (27), 20 (23), 16 (18), 30 (36)
Ep 8: 24 (30), 10 (12), 22 (21), 36 (36)
Ep 9: 22 (31), 30 (32), 18 (19), 24 (23)
Ep 10: 14 (15), 20 (20), 22 (22), 34 (47)
Doing a little bit of number crunching shows up some quite interesting things:
- Given that other rounds are typically scored 10, 6, 4 and 2, if you were to average the best, second best and so on scores for GK in 2009 it would be worth 7.3, 2.5, 1.1 and 0.
- That equals 10.9, a far cry from the 22 points on offer for all the other rounds.
- The person leading going into the round ended up winning the contest nine out of ten times, but on only four occasions did they actually score the highest on general knowledge.
To me, this leads to a surprising conclusion that far from being weighted too heavily, general knowledge wasn’t weighted enough compared to other rounds of the contest. Whilst on only one occasion did a contestant score more than the 10 points on offer from other rounds, those further down lose out more.
I will return to this at the end of the 2010 – similar scoring but a longer 90 second time limit and seemingly faster questions. It’s also the fourth round of four rather than of five or six as it used to be.
If anyone wants to compile statistics from older series as shown on Challenge, go on right ahead.